In a bid to avoid such a situation, Napoli will do everything they can to get a result at Dortmund. They know that even a draw would put them in a very good position to go through to the round of 16. A draw would give them 10 points, and another draw at home against Arsenal would see them through. With Arsenal likely to be on 12 points by then, a draw would suit both teams.
In order to prevent this scenario, Dortmund must avoid another home slip up. They did well to win at Arsenal, and will have been disappointed by the manner in which they lost 1-0 in Germany. Their performance was solid enough, but their passing in the final third was very poor. The likes of Mkhitaryan, Lewandowski and Reus will be looking to put forward improved performances.
The betting line for this game suggests that Borussia Dortmund are heavy favorites. Napoli do not play well away from home, and Dortmund have only lost once at home all season. They are 3/5 to get the points, while the draw is priced at 7/2. Napoli are all the way out at 5/1, demonstrating the lack of faith that bookmakers have in their chances at the Westfalonstadion.
The smart money for this game would have to be on a draw. Napoli are not good enough to go to Germany and win, but they can certainly stifle Dortmund and come away with a valuable point. At 7/2, the draw is priced at a level which would be enticing to betters, without seeming as though it is an impossible result.